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Frogwatch  
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 More options Nov 7, 7:13 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: Frogwatch <dboh...@mindspring.com>
Date: Fri, 6 Nov 2009 18:13:37 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sat, Nov 7 2009 7:13 am
Subject: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
Am still reading Gingritch's "Pearl Harbor" concerning events of the
late 1930s and early 40s that led up to the attack and am wondering if
in mid-1941 the war could have been avoided between Japan and the
USA.  In this book, some senior Japanese officials were very
embarassed over the behavior of the Jap army in Nanking and blamed the
poor restraint of the Army claiming the Navy was better behaved.  I
dunno.
In the book, there is a conversation between US ambassador Grew and
Japanese Foreign Minister Teijiro about Roosevelt declaring a complete
embargo on Japan over Japan's occupation of Indochina.  They both
agree that unless one side or the other backs down a bit there will be
war.  The Foreign Minister suggests some "give and take" of some kind
to avoid war.  Obviously, in real life, the embargo went into effect
and there was war.
What if, Roosevelt had agreed to partially lift the embargo in
exchange for something?  Prince Konoye had secretely asked Secretary
Hull for a private meeting with Roosevelt to discuss such, perhaps in
Anchorage or Hawaii.  However, the admin thought this would be too
much like Munich with Chamberlain giving up stuff over and over again
to no result.
What if such a meeting had taken place and Japan had agreed to
withdraw from Southern ports in Indochina in exchange for only a
partial oil embargo.  Could war have been prevented? I think "No"
because Japan saw no other way out other than getting the oil of SE
Asia.  IS there some way they could have made their oil supply certain
without going to war with the USA?
If there had been no war betwen USA and Japan, would the Japanese ever
moderated their behavior or would getting access to the oil simply
make them more boldly offensive?

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Ray O'Hara  
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 More options Nov 7, 7:17 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 6 Nov 2009 21:17:06 -0500
Local: Sat, Nov 7 2009 7:17 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"Frogwatch" <dboh...@mindspring.com> wrote in message

news:b53a34cd-d1f9-4b98-82b3-84fe32400edd@g23g2000yqh.googlegroups.com...

FDR wanted war and wasn't about to do anything that prevented it.

what you should read Dave, is John Toland's Pulitzer Prize winning book "The
Rising Sun" it is a book on the Japanese side of WWII, its a great read too.


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Frogwatch  
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 More options Nov 7, 7:36 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: Frogwatch <dboh...@mindspring.com>
Date: Fri, 6 Nov 2009 18:36:04 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sat, Nov 7 2009 7:36 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
On Nov 6, 9:17 pm, "Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com> wrote:

Thanks Ray, I'll order it from Amazon

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Keith Willshaw  
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 More options Nov 7, 3:52 pm
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Keith Willshaw" <ke...@nospam.kwillshaw.demon.co.uk>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 10:52:17 -0000
Local: Sat, Nov 7 2009 3:52 pm
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"Frogwatch" <dboh...@mindspring.com> wrote in message

news:b53a34cd-d1f9-4b98-82b3-84fe32400edd@g23g2000yqh.googlegroups.com...

Negotiations were actually going on in Washington as the
attack was taking place

> What if such a meeting had taken place and Japan had agreed to
> withdraw from Southern ports in Indochina in exchange for only a
> partial oil embargo.  Could war have been prevented? I think "No"
> because Japan saw no other way out other than getting the oil of SE
> Asia.  IS there some way they could have made their oil supply certain
> without going to war with the USA?

Not without a complete withdrawal from French IndoChina and
China.

> If there had been no war betwen USA and Japan, would the Japanese ever
> moderated their behavior

No, the militarists were hell bent on war.

>  or would getting access to the oil simply
> make them more boldly offensive?

That's exactly what would happen. It would reinforce their conviction
that the western powers were too decadent and cowardly to fight.

Keith


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Keith Willshaw  
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 More options Nov 7, 4:05 pm
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Keith Willshaw" <ke...@nospam.kwillshaw.demon.co.uk>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 11:05:03 -0000
Local: Sat, Nov 7 2009 4:05 pm
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com> wrote in message

news:hd2lb4$cg4$1@news.eternal-september.org...

Not with Japan he didnt. No sensible leader wants to fight two
wars at the same time and he knew war with Germany was coming.

> what you should read Dave, is John Toland's Pulitzer Prize winning book
> "The Rising Sun" it is a book on the Japanese side of WWII, its a great
> read too.

I recommend ' The Reluctant Admiral' by Hiroyuki Agawa. Based on interviews
with his subordinates, family and surviving members of the Japanese
government
it is more than just a bio of the naval leader. It details his political
struggles
against the militarists in Japan.

He repeatedly warned that war with the west would end in Japanese defeat.
He even went so far as to tell the Japanese government that while it was
impossible for Japan to achieve the sort of miltary victory that would end
with Japanese troops occupying Washington it was very likely that a
war would end with US troops occupying Tokyo.

The miltarists hated him for this and hatched several plots to
assassinate him. Eventually the navy were forced to order him to sea
for his own safety.

Keith


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Jack Linthicum  
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 More options Nov 7, 4:14 pm
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: Jack Linthicum <jacklinthi...@earthlink.net>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 03:14:52 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sat, Nov 7 2009 4:14 pm
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
On Nov 6, 9:13 pm, Frogwatch <dboh...@mindspring.com> wrote:

Remember that Konoye would have had to go to FDR. Not very likely,
given Japanese ideas about subservience and the ability of the 1941
transportation system to deliver either one to a "neutral" site.

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Ray O'Hara  
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 More options Nov 7, 9:40 pm
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 11:40:41 -0500
Local: Sat, Nov 7 2009 9:40 pm
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"Keith Willshaw" <ke...@nospam.kwillshaw.demon.co.uk> wrote in message

news:uvcJm.29368$tF5.26784@newsfe25.ams2...

The one Japanese POW captured at Pearl Harbor was put on a train and shipped
across the country through Chicago to Tennessee, after seeing the huge grain
fields and industrial cities he remarked that their leaders had lied to them
about the United States and he didn't believe Japan had a chance.
He like most Japanese had no concept of the size of the U.S.

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Keith Willshaw  
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 More options Nov 8, 2:41 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Keith Willshaw" <ke...@nospam.kwillshaw.demon.co.uk>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 21:41:24 -0000
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 2:41 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"Fred J. McCall" <fjmcc...@gmail.com> wrote in message
news:dv1bf5t1on4sbilvl2f132spehv0lfd2e0@4ax.com...

In short he didnt.

US policy was not to provide mar materials to a nation that was
waging an aggressive war. These days they would call it an
ethical foreign policy.

Of course in the case of Germany he DID order the USN to open
fire on German naval vessels.

Keith


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tankfixer  
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 More options Nov 8, 3:55 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: tankfixer <paul.carr...@gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 14:55:20 -0800
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 3:55 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
In article <hd2lb4$cg...@news.eternal-september.org>, raymond-
oh...@hotmail.com says...

That's about the craziest thing I've seen you write in a while.


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tankfixer  
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 More options Nov 8, 3:56 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: tankfixer <paul.carr...@gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 14:56:21 -0800
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 3:56 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
In article <dv1bf5t1on4sbilvl2f132spehv0lfd...@4ax.com>,
fjmcc...@gmail.com says...

Such as ?

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frank  
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 More options Nov 8, 4:26 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: frank <dhssresearc...@netscape.net>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 15:26:05 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 4:26 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
On Nov 7, 5:14 pm, Fred J. McCall <fjmcc...@gmail.com> wrote:

I wouldn't waste my time on Gingrich's novel but did he bring up the
point that the US fired the first shot as the Ward sank the minisub?
Evil white people messing with the Greater East Asia Co Prosperity
Sphere.....I can see the revisionists in Japan now rewriting the
school text books.

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Keith Willshaw  
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 More options Nov 8, 5:39 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Keith Willshaw" <ke...@nospam.kwillshaw.demon.co.uk>
Date: Sun, 8 Nov 2009 00:39:39 -0000
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 5:39 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"Fred J. McCall" <fjmcc...@gmail.com> wrote in message
news:c9tbf5t46nvfdbp0u71k8mhg282kscjmc7@4ax.com...

Sorry but that is not the legal definition of neutrality

> Providing everything (including men) to China while shutting down
> existing trade with Japan pretty much was an act of war.

Sorry but that does not constitute a casus belli.

> When you
> start taking sides, don't be too surprised if the other guy thinks
> you're part of the enemy.

Trouble is we know from Japanese accounts that they had already
decided the USA was the enemy.

> :
> :Of course in the case of Germany he DID order the USN to open
> :fire on German naval vessels.
> :

> Yep.  FDR wanted into BOTH wars.

Yet in June 1941 the Secretary of State handed a peace proposal to
Japan that included the following points

1)  Affirmation by both Governments that their national policies were
directed toward the foundation of a lasting peace and the inauguration of a
new era of reciprocal confidence and cooperation between the two peoples.

2) A suggested formula that the "Government of Japan maintains that the
purpose of the Tripartite Pact was, and is, defensive and is designed to
contribute to the prevention of an unprovoked extension of the European war"
and that the "Government of the United States maintains that its attitude
toward the European hostilities is and will continue to be determined solely
and exclusively by considerations of protection and self-defense".

3) A suggestion by the United States to China that China and Japan enter
into negotiations, provided that Japan first communicate to and discuss with
the United States the general terms which Japan contemplated proposing to
China.

4) Mutual assurances by the United States and Japan that each would supply
the other with such commodities as were required and were available and that
steps would be taken to resume normal trade relations between the two
countries.

5) Provision for cooperation between the two countries toward obtaining
non-discriminatory access by peaceful means to supplies of natural resources
needed

6) . A mutual affirmation that the basic policy of each country was one of
peace throughout the Pacific area and a mutual disclaimer of territorial
designs there.

7). A provision that Japan declare its willingness to negotiate with the
United States,
at such time as the latter might desire, with a view to concluding a treaty
for
the neutralization of the Philippine Islands, when Philippine independence
should have been achieved.

Pretty warlike huh.

The response of the Japanese government was to invade French Indo China.
The US then imposed an oil embargo on Japan.

As late as Dec 6 1941 FDR sent a personal message to Emperor Hirohito
asking him to use his influence with his government to prevent any
military action that would bring about war. Dammed warmongering
at its worst I suppose.

Keith


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Keith Willshaw  
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 More options Nov 8, 5:41 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Keith Willshaw" <ke...@nospam.kwillshaw.demon.co.uk>
Date: Sun, 8 Nov 2009 00:41:24 -0000
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 5:41 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"Fred J. McCall" <fjmcc...@gmail.com> wrote in message
news:hd2cf51r47belis1jpjous3v530ui7er6t@4ax.com...

> :
> :I wouldn't waste my time on Gingrich's novel but did he bring up the
> :point that the US fired the first shot as the Ward sank the minisub?
> :Evil white people messing with the Greater East Asia Co Prosperity
> :Sphere.....I can see the revisionists in Japan now rewriting the
> :school text books.
> :

> How the hell would I know?

How indeed !

> My knowledge of history goes back to what
> I was taught in high school, back in a time when they actually taught
> the details of such things.

Just in case you missed the point theWard was in US territorial waters
at the time.

Keith


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Ray O'Hara  
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 More options Nov 8, 7:00 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 21:00:18 -0500
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 7:00 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"Keith Willshaw" <ke...@nospam.kwillshaw.demon.co.uk> wrote in message

news:VsoJm.3556$JI4.3171@newsfe21.ams2...

> Just in case you missed the point theWard was in US territorial waters
> at the time.

> Keith

 it's Frank you want to mention that point to not Fred.

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Ray O'Hara  
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 More options Nov 8, 7:01 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 21:01:32 -0500
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 7:01 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"tankfixer" <paul.carr...@gmail.com> wrote in message

news:MPG.255f9ab5fe6ed9aa8ee@news.bytemine.net...

FDR badly wanted into the war. he had no doubt we would win.
 even a two front war.

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tankfixer  
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 More options Nov 8, 9:31 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: tankfixer <paul.carr...@gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 20:31:19 -0800
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 9:31 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
In article <hd58pt$pv...@news.eternal-september.org>, raymond-
oh...@hotmail.com says...

You have some sort of cite for that silly claim Ray ?

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tankfixer  
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 More options Nov 8, 9:31 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: tankfixer <paul.carr...@gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 20:31:21 -0800
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 9:31 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
In article <hmvbf513gsrpqa2qn980t1melqpep6a...@4ax.com>,
fjmcc...@gmail.com says...

So you don't have any actual points just a silly claim..

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tankfixer  
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 More options Nov 8, 9:31 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: tankfixer <paul.carr...@gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 20:31:25 -0800
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 9:31 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
In article <VsoJm.3556$JI4.3...@newsfe21.ams2>,
ke...@nospam.kwillshaw.demon.co.uk says...

Patroling an exclusion zone...

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tankfixer  
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 More options Nov 8, 11:09 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: tankfixer <paul.carr...@gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 22:09:15 -0800
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 11:09 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
In article <3nkcf5th47lrmc5bugv3gohlai4t744...@4ax.com>,
fjmcc...@gmail.com says...

How does either of those get the US into the war directly ?

> Just a couple of things you'd already know if you hadn't slept through
> history in school.

> Now go take a course and educate yourself, you stupid twat.

Stop making lcaims that FDR wanted the US in either the Pacific or
European wars and people might start to take you seriously.

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zzbunker@netscape.net  
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 More options Nov 8, 3:17 pm
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "zzbun...@netscape.net" <zzbun...@netscape.net>
Date: Sun, 8 Nov 2009 02:17:50 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 3:17 pm
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
On Nov 6, 9:13 pm, Frogwatch <dboh...@mindspring.com> wrote:

   Roosevelt was looking for any excuse available to go to war with
the Nazis and Fascists,
   so he wouldn't have any lifted aby embargos on people supplying oil
to Germany.

   Any since the only thing the Japanese Navy even knew about science
anything,
   engineering anything, or military anything was the Emperor, so
that's the people
   in the US were already well along the way post Port-o-Call
Economics and doing
   nuclear research, rocket research, missile research, computer
research,
   dsp reasearch, microbe reasearch, laser and maser research,
microwave research.
   Post Coal Economics, Post Submarine Engines, Post Diesel Logistics,
   Jeep Development, Bazooka Development, Anti-Mine Warfare, and Post
WWI everything in general.

  Prince Konoye had secretely asked Secretary


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Ray O'Hara  
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 More options Nov 8, 4:13 pm
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: "Ray O'Hara" <raymond-oh...@hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 8 Nov 2009 06:13:39 -0500
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 4:13 pm
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

"tankfixer" <paul.carr...@gmail.com> wrote in message

news:MPG.255fdec4f5980e078ff@news.bytemine.net...

as Fred mentioned, read some U.S. history of the inter-war depression era.
it was the thrust of our foreign policy . from escorting convoys and
engaging u-boats in combat with losses on both side to thr AVG.
War was the way out of depression because war is a unrestrained spending
project and the republicans couldn't thwart it.

and FDR understood that. you spend to end economic hard times, not save


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Jack Linthicum  
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 More options Nov 8, 5:18 pm
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: Jack Linthicum <jacklinthi...@earthlink.net>
Date: Sun, 8 Nov 2009 04:18:41 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 5:18 pm
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
On Nov 7, 7:00 pm, Fred J. McCall <fjmcc...@gmail.com> wrote:

You got details in high school? I would guess you can't describe the
provisions of the Lend Lease Act without going to a source.

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Duwop  
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 More options Nov 8, 11:28 pm
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: Duwop <tut...@hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 8 Nov 2009 10:28:01 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 11:28 pm
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
On Nov 7, 6:46 am, Fred J. McCall <fjmcc...@gmail.com> wrote:

You mean like the Japanese fired on Americans? Obviously you're
unfamiliar with the incidents in the international settlement in
Shanghai, including the Panay incident.

http://books.google.com/books?id=sXiHihVtoKgC&lpg=PA108&ots=pcYQ6SHUp...

Make sure to read page 116.

Who wanted war with whom again?


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Duwop  
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 More options Nov 8, 11:34 pm
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: Duwop <tut...@hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 8 Nov 2009 10:34:49 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 8 2009 11:34 pm
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor
On Nov 7, 9:13 pm, Fred J. McCall <fjmcc...@gmail.com> wrote:

> 2) Giving special dispensations to ACTIVE DUTY MILITARY PILOTS so that
> they could temporarily leave service and go join the Chinese?

When did that unit first see combat? (Hint: it was not until after
Pearl Harbor)

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William Black  
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 More options Nov 9, 12:06 am
Newsgroups: sci.military.naval
From: William Black <william.bl...@hotmail.co.uk>
Date: Sun, 08 Nov 2009 19:06:29 +0000
Local: Mon, Nov 9 2009 12:06 am
Subject: Re: Avoiding Pearl Harbor

Duwop wrote:
> On Nov 7, 9:13 pm, Fred J. McCall <fjmcc...@gmail.com> wrote:

>> 2) Giving special dispensations to ACTIVE DUTY MILITARY PILOTS so that
>> they could temporarily leave service and go join the Chinese?

> When did that unit first see combat? (Hint: it was not until after
> Pearl Harbor)

The bloke flying the plane that spotted the Bismarck was a US military
pilot on active service...

--
William Black

"Any number under six"

The answer given by Englishman Richard Peeke when asked by the Duke of
Medina Sidonia how many Spanish sword and buckler men he could beat
single handed with a quarterstaff.


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