Doyle and Negraneau have agreed to a 1 million dollar bet
Negraneau has Ivey and Doyle has Darwin Moon ...MUST WIN
negraneau is insane
You heard it here first!! Just when you think that youve been gypped ..the bearded lady comes and does a double back flip!!! John Hiatt in "Buffalo River Home"
K9way wrote: > Doyle and Negraneau have agreed to a 1 million dollar bet
> Negraneau has Ivey and Doyle has Darwin Moon ...MUST WIN
> negraneau is insane
> You heard it here first!! > Just when you think that youve been gypped ..the bearded lady comes and > does a double back flip!!! John Hiatt in "Buffalo River Home"
> -------- > looking for a better newsgroup-reader? - www.recgroups.com
That's probably not that bad, It is probably reasonable that each is about 10% against the field, Taking into account money differences.
I think Shulman has a better chance than either of these two. But all and all I have seen worse bets.
> K9way wrote: > > Doyle and Negraneau have agreed to a 1 million dollar bet
> > Negraneau has Ivey and Doyle has Darwin Moon ...MUST WIN
> > negraneau is insane
> > You heard it here first!! > > Just when you think that youve been gypped ..the bearded lady comes and > > does a double back flip!!! John Hiatt in "Buffalo River Home"
> That's probably not that bad, It is probably reasonable that each is > about 10% against the field, Taking into account money differences.
> I think Shulman has a better chance than either of these two. But all > and all I have seen worse bets.
if you think Moon is 10% against the field ..you are more insane than negraneau
Just when you think that youve been gypped ..the bearded lady comes and does a double back flip!!! John Hiatt in "Buffalo River Home"
____________________________________________________________________ : the next generation of web-newsreaders : http://www.recgroups.com
johnny_t wrote: > K9way wrote: > > Doyle and Negraneau have agreed to a 1 million dollar bet
> > Negraneau has Ivey and Doyle has Darwin Moon ...MUST WIN
> > negraneau is insane
> > You heard it here first!! > > Just when you think that youve been gypped ..the bearded lady comes and > > does a double back flip!!! John Hiatt in "Buffalo River Home"
> > -------- > > looking for a better newsgroup-reader? - www.recgroups.com
> That's probably not that bad, It is probably reasonable that each is > about 10% against the field, Taking into account money differences.
> I think Shulman has a better chance than either of these two. But all > and all I have seen worse bets.
Moon has ~30% of the chips, which would be his expected chance to win if skill levels were equal. Even if you think he's just a card- catching donk, I don't see how you can rate his chances at less than 15-20% with his stack.
In 3 of the last 6 Main Events, the chipleader coming to the final table won going away (Moneymaker, Raymer, and Gold). Hachem took awhile to get the lead but dominated once he did. Yang went from 8th to 1st very quickly and never lost the chip lead once he got it. Only Eastgate had the lead and lost it before going on to win (he briefly fell behind Demidov headsup).
As far as Ivey goes, I expect him to come out aggressively looking to double up early. I think he's close to 10%, but I won't be surprised at all if he finishes 8th or 9th.
|
